I’m not a big Tampa sports fan. I am, as you’ve seen a big sports fan, but we remain loyal to our old home town teams in Washington and Balitmore. I will say though there must be something in the water down here and we’re not talking mermaids or manatees.
The Tampa teams have been on a role recently the Tampa Bay Rays went to the world series in 2020 and lost to the LA Dodgers. The Tampa Bay Lighting hockey team won the Stanley Cup (championship) in 2020 and now the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in the NFL’s Superbowl. Yes, the Ray’s didn’t win and the Buc’s game isn’t until next week but they’ve already become the first NFL team to be the host city of the Superbowl and one of the teams playing. The Buc’s in many odds houses are the favorite.
The point is the odds of any city winning 3 out of 4 of the major North American championship is very slim. The Harvard Sports Anaylisis Collective puts it this way…”When we sum up the individual probabilities, we get 0.43%. Thus, ignoring the “big market” effect and assuming all franchises in a given league have a uniform probability of winning the championship, we would expect one city to win at least three out of four titles about once every 227 years.”
So, even without a Ray’s win or a Buc’s win they’ve done something amazing in this town and its worth trying to answer the question, what are the odds?